PROGNOSIS OF ENTEROVIRUS INCIDENCE ON THE 2019 EPIDEMIC SEASON IN CONSTITUENT ENTITIES OF THE FAR EASTERN AND SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Abstract
Abundant spread of enteroviruses in the Russian Federation, divergence of regional incidence indices of enterovirus infection as well as formation of the disease breakouts determine importance of forecasting of the number of infected in the forthcoming epidemic season in epidemiological surveillance. The performed research anticipates increased trends of enterovirus incidence in 2019 epidemic season in nearly all constituent entities of the Far Eastern federal district (FEFD) as well as Siberian federal district (SFD). Moreover, the short-term prognosis indicates overall direction of epidemic process in a separate territory excluding risk factors. Timely organized epidemic prevention measures can prevent the anticipated deterioration of the epidemic situation.
About the Authors
E. Yu. Sapega
FBIS Khabarovsk scientific research institute of epidemiology and microbiology of Rospotrebnadzor (Federal service for surveillance on consumers rights protection and human wellbeing)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Khabarovsk
L. V. Butakova
FBIS Khabarovsk scientific research institute of epidemiology and microbiology of Rospotrebnadzor (Federal service for surveillance on consumers rights protection and human wellbeing)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Khabarovsk
O. E. Trotsenko
FBIS Khabarovsk scientific research institute of epidemiology and microbiology of Rospotrebnadzor (Federal service for surveillance on consumers rights protection and human wellbeing)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Khabarovsk
T. N. Zaitseva
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Khabarovsk krai
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Khabarovsk
O. P. Kurganova
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Amur oblast
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Blagoveshchensk
M. E. Ignatyeva
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Republic Sakha (Yakutiya)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Yakutsk
O. A. Funtusova
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Sakhalin oblast
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
P. V. Kopilov
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Jewish Autonomous region
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Birobidzhan
A. V. Semenikhin
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Chukotka autonomous region
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Anadyr
T. N. Detkovskaya
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Primorsky region
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Vladivostok
N. I. Zhdanova
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Kamchatka krai
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky
S. A. Korsunskaya
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Magadan oblast
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Magadan
S. E. Lapa
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Zabailalsky krai
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Chita
A. N. Perezhogin
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Irkutsk oblast
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Irkutsk
S. S. Khankhareev
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Republic Buryatia
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Ulan-Ude
T. G. Romanova
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Republic Khakassia
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Abakan
D. V. Goryaev
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Krasnoyarsk krai
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk
L. V. Shuchinov
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Altai Republic
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Gorno-Altaisk
L. K. Salchak
Regional Rospotrebnadzor office in the Tyva Republic, Kyzyl
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Kyzyl
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Review
For citations:
Sapega E.Yu., Butakova L.V., Trotsenko O.E., Zaitseva T.N., Kurganova O.P., Ignatyeva M.E., Funtusova O.A., Kopilov P.V., Semenikhin A.V., Detkovskaya T.N., Zhdanova N.I., Korsunskaya S.A., Lapa S.E., Perezhogin A.N., Khankhareev S.S., Romanova T.G., Goryaev D.V., Shuchinov L.V., Salchak L.K. PROGNOSIS OF ENTEROVIRUS INCIDENCE ON THE 2019 EPIDEMIC SEASON IN CONSTITUENT ENTITIES OF THE FAR EASTERN AND SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. Far Eastern Journal of Infectious Pathology. 2019;(36):16-22. (In Russ.)
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